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Russian Ukraine Invasion

#51
stryder Offline
I wouldn't be surprised if Putin is actually going senile. A number of months back he did some press piece expressing his "human" side about what he did during the Soviet collapse, where he mentioned he was a cab driver. This likely inspired people to speak to him on the subject and likely rekindled the thoughts he had as a youth. He likely then became frustrated that what he wanted, what goals he had, hadn't been achieved and thus his irrational second wind was born.

If that is the case it begs the question as to who his replacement would be? Any opposition to Putin in the past has swiftly been executed through poisoning or undermined by smear campaigns by Putins "Puppeteers". While Putin could fulfill their goals he's had their blessings, but what now when the irrationality threatens their existance, their incomes, their actual country?
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#52
Kornee Offline
Putin is far from senile. Many pundits do question whether Biden is though.
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#53
C C Offline
Chernobyl's Radiation Spiked 20 Times Above Usual Levels as Russian Forces Arrive
https://www.sciencealert.com/chernobyl-r...y-movement

INTRO: The Chernobyl nuclear power plant and its surrounding area are showing increased radiation levels after heavy fighting between Ukrainian and Russian troops in the region, Ukrainian officials said Friday (Feb. 25)

Online data from the Chernobyl exclusion zone's automated radiation-monitoring system shows that gamma radiation has increased 20 times above usual levels at multiple observation points, which officials from the Ukrainian nuclear agency attributed to radioactive dust thrown up by the movement of heavy military equipment in the area. 

The defunct Chernobyl nuclear power plant has been under occupation by attacking Russian soldiers since Thursday (Feb. 24) after Russian president Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in the early hours of the morning.

Workers at the facility, stationed there to monitor and maintain radiation levels within safe bounds, have been taken hostage by Russian troops, according to Anna Kovalenko, a Ukrainian military expert.

"The station staff is being held hostage. This threatens the security of not only Ukraine but also a significant part of Europe," Kovalenko wrote on Facebook... (MORE - details)


EU Aims to Wean Off Fossil Fuels as Energy Prices Spike on Ukraine Invasion
https://e360.yale.edu/digest/eu-aims-to-...e-invasion

INTRO: The Russian attack on Ukraine has led to a spike in energy prices, with oil briefly surpassing $100 a barrel, the highest level since 2014, and Dutch and British gas prices rising 40 to 60 percent Thursday. Russia is the world’s second-largest exporter of oil and largest exporter of natural gas. As the war intensifies and sanctions loom, analysts fear disruptions to the supply of fossil fuels.

The European Union (EU), which is heavily dependent on the Kremlin for oil and gas, is aiming to break free of Russian imports, giving it greater latitude to impose sanctions on Moscow without roiling energy markets at home, The Washington Post reports. Russia supplies 40 percent of the EU’s natural gas.

In a bid to achieve energy independence, the EU is looking to speed the shift to renewable power... (MORE - details)


International Space Station threatened in future by Russian invasion of Ukraine and resulting US sanctions
https://theconversation.com/russian-inva...ion-177891

INTRO: New U.S. sanctions on Russia will encompass Russia’s space agency, Roscosmos, according to a speech U.S. President Joe Biden gave on Feb. 24, 2022.

In response to these sanctions, the head of Roscosmos on the same day posted a tweet saying, among other things, “If you block cooperation with us, who will save the ISS from an uncontrolled deorbit and fall into the United States or Europe?”

The International Space Station has often stayed above the fray of geopolitics. That position is under threat.

Built and run by the U.S., Russia, Europe, Japan and Canada, the ISS has shown how countries can cooperate on major projects in space. The station has been continuously occupied for over 20 years and has hosted more than 250 people from 19 countries.

As a space policy expert, the ISS represents, to me, a high point of cooperation in space exploration. But for the current crew of two Russians, four Americans and one German, things may be getting worrisome as tensions rise between the U.S. and Russia.

Several agreements and systems are in place to make sure that the space station can function smoothly while being run by five different space agencies. As of Feb. 24, there were no announcements of unusual actions aboard the station despite the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine. But the Russian government has brought the ISS into geopolitics before and is doing so again... (MORE - details)
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#54
Syne Offline
(Feb 25, 2022 11:21 AM)Kornee Wrote: Some interesting historical background info, helping to explain why Biden and Putin likely have personal reasons for despising each other:
https://news.yahoo.com/biden-played-key-...09851.html

That only explains why Putin may dislike Biden, not vice versa. Biden seems pretty damn accommodating to Putin's aims...not sanctioning until after an invasion, not committing US troops or even air support for Ukraine, etc..
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#55
Yazata Offline
Latest reports are that the Russians are attacking into the city of Kyiv tonight. Lots of small arms and heavier weapons fire, mostly in the northern outskirts of the city apparently. The center of the city is tense but largely quiet. Ukrainian reinforcements are on their way to the city to bolster the defense. A Russian IL-76 transport jet full of troops was shot down southwest of Kyiv. I'm guessing that it was on approach to land at the Antonov airport at Hostomel.

In the south, the Russians are once again threatening Mykolaiv, after having been repelled once. The Russians control the Dnepr river bridge at Kherson and most of that small city, but Ukrainian forces hold out in the center of town. They will probably be defeated in a day or so if they don't receive reinforcements. Russian air attacks on the port city of Odessa. The Russians now control most of the northern shore of the Sea of Azov.

Vicinity of the Kyiv zoo:

https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/stat...3298575360

Peremohy Prospeckt

https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/stat...3458101254

Here's a good summary of the military situation. In a nutshell - none of the larger Ukrainian cities or any of the provincial capitals have yet fallen.

https://militaryland.net/ukraine/invasio...2-summary/
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#56
Yazata Offline
Indications Saturday are that the Ukrainians fought off the Russians in the northern outskirts of Kyiv last night. The US and British defense departments say that these were probing attacks and that the main body of Russian forces is about 15-20 miles north of the city. The Russians seem to be trying to stir the pot with these smaller attacks, while they also fire rockets into the city.

Significantly, the Russians seem to be sending many infiltrators/saboteurs into Kyiv, some dressed as civilians and some wearing captured Ukrainian military uniforms. My guess is that the infiltrators hope to stir paranoia and generate lots of friendly-fire incidents. The Ukrainians have distributed some 18,000 AK military rifles to civilians in Kyiv and some of these civilians have engaged suspected infiltrators.

The US and British defense people are saying that the Russians are advancing a lot more slowly than they expected and are meeting much tougher resistance. Few if any of the Russians' early objectives have been achieved. All of the larger Ukrainian cities are still in Ukrainian hands.

It appears that the US Javelin anti-tank missiles have been a huge success. They are "fire-and-forget" such that they don't require human guidance once fired but fly to their targets autonomously, allowing the crew that fired them to duck out of sight of return fire. They can attack their targets from above where tanks' armor is weakest rather than straight on and have advanced armor-piercing warheads. They can be set up in 30 seconds and their launcher tubes reloaded in another 30 seconds.

And apparently they are having an almost 100% success rate knocking out Russian military vehicles! For each missile fired, odds are very good that a target vehicle will be destroyed. The Javelins are a big part of why there's so much video of burning Russian vehicles on the internet. The Ukrainians have at least 1,200 of them and there's talk that they will be receiving more. (I think that Poland has already delivered some.)

The British have also supplied a large number of missiles they call "next-generation light antitank weapon". These are British/Swedish/US antitank rockets with many of the same features as the Javelin, but with shorter range. (Their advantage is that they are less expensive.) These rockets have proven to be very successful as well in Ukrainian hands. Over the last month or so many RAF cargo flights delivered more than 1,000 of them to Ukraine.

Russian T-72 tank north of Kyiv


[Image: FMhxv7HWUAM821l?format=jpg&name=small]
[Image: FMhxv7HWUAM821l?format=jpg&name=small]

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#58
Yazata Offline
(Feb 26, 2022 07:33 PM)Magical Realist Wrote: kremlin.ru , was down on Saturday, following reports of cyberattacks on various other Russian government and state media websites.

I just tried to go to kremlin.ru and it didn't respond.
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#59
Syne Offline
Or that's another false flag. Russia takes down it's own site and blames Ukrainian hacking.
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#60
stryder Offline
(Feb 26, 2022 09:28 PM)Syne Wrote: Or that's another false flag. Russia takes down it's own site and blames Ukrainian hacking.

According to the BBC, Pro-Russian hackers had been undermining the Ukrainian networks, and Anonymous has stated they would retalliate against Russian Aggression. So anything is possible in that sense.
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