Democrats' disastrous showing with the working class & voters of color in VA and NJ is a big warning sign for 2022
https://www.businessinsider.com/democrat...ng-2021-11
EXCERPT (Sonam Sheth & Eliza Relman): . . . Unlike the 2020 presidential race, the 2021 elections weren't a referendum on Donald Trump, and one Democratic pollster who requested anonymity to speak candidly said they showed the five-year-long trend of Democrats losing appeal among working-class voters and voters of color is only getting worse.
"Non-white voters, it seems, trended heavily against Democrats compared to 2020, which was already a very bad showing for Democrats," he said. "A lot of people wanted to wave away the fact that Republicans were doing better with non-white voters. It's very ideologically inconvenient." (MORE - missing details)
Gubernatorial elections in Virginia & New Jersey suggest that Republicans’ appeal to voters has strengthened without Trump.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-colum...-democrats
EXCERPTS: . . . But what if the establishment no longer needs him [Trump] for the votes? “I’ll just say it: Glenn Youngkin should seriously consider running for president in 2024,” the anti-Trump conservative Times columnist Ross Douthat tweeted, maybe a little breathlessly, on Tuesday evening...
[...] It is beginning to seem that Biden’s Presidency is in trouble. In the course of the summer, his public approval collapsed [...] “Biden has nearly the worst approval ratings of any president on record at this stage of his presidency,” the Times election guru Nate Cohn tweeted late last night. “Just something to keep in mind if you’re struggling to understand what happened tonight.”
Exactly why what seemed a popular Presidency has lost so much support has been hard to pinpoint, even for professionals. There are mundane factors (gas prices spiked this summer) and ideological ones (the Republicans have been raising a ruckus over progressive positions on schools, crime, and homelessness). But the scale of the votes last night hinted at a simpler dynamic, in which Democrats control most political institutions but have been unable to effectively direct them.
[...] Biden’s coalition suddenly seems fragile. Without the soldering presence of the fear of Trump, it is vulnerable to being pulled apart ... Tuesday’s elections were off-year contests in just two states. But they supplied a point of skepticism.
[...] generational change may be less powerful, at least for now, than the pattern of education polarization, in which voters with a college education are trending toward the Democrats and those without one toward the Republicans... (MORE - details)
https://www.businessinsider.com/democrat...ng-2021-11
EXCERPT (Sonam Sheth & Eliza Relman): . . . Unlike the 2020 presidential race, the 2021 elections weren't a referendum on Donald Trump, and one Democratic pollster who requested anonymity to speak candidly said they showed the five-year-long trend of Democrats losing appeal among working-class voters and voters of color is only getting worse.
"Non-white voters, it seems, trended heavily against Democrats compared to 2020, which was already a very bad showing for Democrats," he said. "A lot of people wanted to wave away the fact that Republicans were doing better with non-white voters. It's very ideologically inconvenient." (MORE - missing details)
Gubernatorial elections in Virginia & New Jersey suggest that Republicans’ appeal to voters has strengthened without Trump.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-colum...-democrats
EXCERPTS: . . . But what if the establishment no longer needs him [Trump] for the votes? “I’ll just say it: Glenn Youngkin should seriously consider running for president in 2024,” the anti-Trump conservative Times columnist Ross Douthat tweeted, maybe a little breathlessly, on Tuesday evening...
[...] It is beginning to seem that Biden’s Presidency is in trouble. In the course of the summer, his public approval collapsed [...] “Biden has nearly the worst approval ratings of any president on record at this stage of his presidency,” the Times election guru Nate Cohn tweeted late last night. “Just something to keep in mind if you’re struggling to understand what happened tonight.”
Exactly why what seemed a popular Presidency has lost so much support has been hard to pinpoint, even for professionals. There are mundane factors (gas prices spiked this summer) and ideological ones (the Republicans have been raising a ruckus over progressive positions on schools, crime, and homelessness). But the scale of the votes last night hinted at a simpler dynamic, in which Democrats control most political institutions but have been unable to effectively direct them.
[...] Biden’s coalition suddenly seems fragile. Without the soldering presence of the fear of Trump, it is vulnerable to being pulled apart ... Tuesday’s elections were off-year contests in just two states. But they supplied a point of skepticism.
[...] generational change may be less powerful, at least for now, than the pattern of education polarization, in which voters with a college education are trending toward the Democrats and those without one toward the Republicans... (MORE - details)