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Can We “See” Climate Change?

#1
C C Offline
https://www.sapiens.org/column/the-clima...-evidence/

EXCERPT: [...] While the overwhelming scientific consensus is that the climate is changing and the globe is warming, climate change is a complex process that can be difficult to fully grasp. For this reason, it is important to pay attention to the arguments of climate skeptics—not just to refute them but to understand why their claims can be convincing. Rather than abstractions, Inhofe offered a tangible example: A snowball on a cold day is a reminder that the visible world around us matters. Yet the world around us should not only be a vehicle for encouraging doubt—it also offers a wealth of concrete, visible evidence that the climate is changing. As part of an effort to counter skeptics, climate scientists focus people’s attention on broader climatic trends, not individual weather events....

MORE: https://www.sapiens.org/column/the-clima...-evidence/
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#2
Syne Offline
Yet it's "individual weather events" that they most claim are evidence of catastrophic climate change...even though several decades ago they use to avoid that by saying "climate is not weather".
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#3
RainbowUnicorn Offline
(Oct 23, 2017 12:05 AM)Syne Wrote: Yet it's "individual weather events" that they most claim are evidence of catastrophic climate change...even though several decades ago they use to avoid that by saying "climate is not weather".

Quote:"individual weather events" that they most claim are evidence of catastrophic climate change...
you do realise that the hurricanes & tornados & wild fires in the USA is climate change and they are desperately attempting to avoid wide spread panic about it by simply avoiding the subject ?
---im not pro-shouting fire in a crowded cinema, since this message board is not very widely read it matters little.
that said, the usa is in to get its ass handed to it on a plate.
the ever increasing hurricanes because of global warming effecting sea temp and the change in the precipitation level AND the consequential increase in rain fall EFFECT  the USA.
i.e florida pan handle where it already floods in the streets at high tide. new orleans and other coastal citys by river mouths.


ADDED you ARE aware of entire US towns built in flood plains that will now begin to flood again at an ever increasing rate !

much the same for countrys on the coast lines like vietnam etc which have lots of loose top soil with mountains and have high precipitation.
the increased rainfal over the next few decades which has already started is going to carve out entire towns and change coastal areas where most of their food gathering and houses are situated,
probably get lots of american unexploded bombs washing down in the streams which would be one big reason the usa wont want to have this type of thing in the media.

as for group consensus being your purported value of data sets by observation...
bystander effects  puts that idea straight in the bin, along with things like eyewitness statements(how vastly wrong and innacurate they are in general)

this little saying you mentioned
Quote:"climate is not weather".
this is a few decades old and is not related to thevalidation of scientific data surrounded climate change being real or not real.
it specifically refers to the planetary cycles.
though i gues you may not be aware of that.
the scientists who were coining this phrase were refering directly to the newly discovered seasonal cycles in the sun and the long data of gobal seasonality, i.e ice ages.

i hope that helps clear it up a little.


note Puerto rico, is basically needing to be perminently evacuated.
the usa doesnt want to talk about that fact.
US tornado ally where people build tornado fallout-shelters like living in a war(war mentality being nurtured into generation after generation with heavy religous dogma)...
etc.. etc...

Colony collapse disorder & mono culture mega crops ....(great swaiths of farming land on the brink of being turned into dust bowls).

just like the old saying about being in the USA people would tell me, its the only city in the world where if you see a mugging going on you pretend you dont see it and keep moving past them.
thats a culture. the culture has not suddenly changed.

i do not like to scare people, i am generally against it, however talking of the real possibilities and how some choose to live ignorantly and then run around screaming victim & trying to point the finger... litigious society intergenerational culture/breeding....

there is plenty of smoke, hel! therte is even fire !
too many facing the other direction saying "nope im facing this way and cant see anything so nothing is wrong with me, only thing wrong is YOU"!

mean while science is being labelled the new enemy of the state religion.
(ignore my imotive tone, it helps me write)
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#4
Syne Offline
(Oct 23, 2017 07:51 AM)RainbowUnicorn Wrote: you do realise that the hurricanes & tornados & wild fires in the USA is climate change and they are desperately attempting to avoid wide spread panic about it by simply avoiding the subject ?
---im not pro-shouting fire in a crowded cinema, since this message board is not very widely read it matters little.
that said, the usa is in to get its ass handed to it on a plate.
the ever increasing hurricanes because of global warming effecting sea temp and the change in the precipitation level AND the consequential increase in rain fall EFFECT  the USA.
i.e florida pan handle where it already floods in the streets at high tide. new orleans and other coastal citys by river mouths.

Bullshit. The US was long overdue for more hurricanes.
U.S. Hasn't Gone This Long Without a Big Hurricane in 150 Years
And even had a lull in tornadoes.
Experts explain why the US saw a low tornado count in 2016

Florida panhandle flooding was due to rain, not tides. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/usan...s/8501961/
Miami only saw flooding due to king tides boosted by a coincidental hurricane. http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...59967.html

"For nearly 40 years, the number of wildfires in California has been declining." - http://www.ocregister.com/2017/09/14/you...oing-down/

Maybe you should pay closer attention to what you're panicking over.

Quote:Colony collapse disorder

Actual research found it to be caused by pesticides and a parasite...not climate. And bee populations were never really "endangered". http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and...ybees.html


Study up before ignorantly prattling on about imminent doom. Rolleyes
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#5
RainbowUnicorn Offline
(Oct 23, 2017 06:29 PM)Syne Wrote:
(Oct 23, 2017 07:51 AM)RainbowUnicorn Wrote: you do realise that the hurricanes & tornados & wild fires in the USA is climate change and they are desperately attempting to avoid wide spread panic about it by simply avoiding the subject ?
---im not pro-shouting fire in a crowded cinema, since this message board is not very widely read it matters little.
that said, the usa is in to get its ass handed to it on a plate.
the ever increasing hurricanes because of global warming effecting sea temp and the change in the precipitation level AND the consequential increase in rain fall EFFECT  the USA.
i.e florida pan handle where it already floods in the streets at high tide. new orleans and other coastal citys by river mouths.

Bullshit. The US was long overdue for more hurricanes.
U.S. Hasn't Gone This Long Without a Big Hurricane in 150 Years
And even had a lull in tornadoes.
Experts explain why the US saw a low tornado count in 2016

Florida panhandle flooding was due to rain, not tides. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/usan...s/8501961/
Miami only saw flooding due to king tides boosted by a coincidental hurricane. http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...59967.html

"For nearly 40 years, the number of wildfires in California has been declining." - http://www.ocregister.com/2017/09/14/you...oing-down/

Maybe you should pay closer attention to what you're panicking over.

Quote:Colony collapse disorder

Actual research found it to be caused by pesticides and a parasite...not climate. And bee populations were never really "endangered". http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and...ybees.html


Study up before ignorantly prattling on about imminent doom.  Rolleyes

i will keep it simple for you & stick to 1 single issue.

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and...ybees.html


Quote:That’s because honeybee populations are not in decline. They haven’t been for a few years now. In fact, many experts believe that honeybees are not in any imminent danger of extinction.
where are the references  to this core principal ?
MISSING !
no links to scientific data !
why is that ?
because it is a manipulation of laymans terms to render a qwasi science pretense.

considering around 50% of global honeybees have died off one would seem it to be scientifically honest to note the actual figures and attribute the "ideological conspiracy theory" to the facts.
however it is a claim with no reference or data to back it up.
i could sit here all day posting links to scientific organisations all over the world spanning years in many different languages documenting the honybee die off.
however i am talking science and you are talking religion.

Florida suffering from climate change sea level rise expereinces flooding while no rain

https://www.livescience.com/60648-king-t...reets.html


Quote: The rash of flooding was instead the work of so-called king tides, the highest high tides of the year, brought on by a combination of seasonal factors and the alignment of the gravitational pull of the sun and the moon.

The floods from this annual event effectively allow locals to "step into a time machine" and glimpse their future as global warming drives up sea levels at an ever-faster pace, said Brian McNoldy, a tropical meteorologist at the University of Miami. The level of today's highest tides could become the average level for high tides of the future, scientists say. [6 Unexpected Effects of Climate Change]
3:42 PM - Oct 6, 2017

[Image: DLbAzt3W0AYZwAY.jpg]
[Image: DLbAzt3W0AYZwAY.jpg]




http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170403...level-rise
BLUE SKIES !


[Image: p04yykt1.jpg]
[Image: p04yykt1.jpg]


Florida State Road A1A runs the entire length of Florida along the ocean, making it vulnerable to flooding – as shown here in Fort Lauderdale in 2013 (Credit: Alamy)

Quote:Look beyond all the glass and steel, though, and – despite the federal government’s sidelining of the issue – there’s another thrum of activity. It’s the wastewater treatment plant constructing new buildings five feet higher than the old ones. The 105 miles (169km) of roads being raised in Miami Beach. The new shopping mall built with flood gates. The 116 tidal valves installed in Fort Lauderdale. The seawalls being raised and repaired. And the worried conversations between more and more residents every year about what the sea-rise models predict – and what to do about it.




miamiherald.com

http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...59967.html


Quote:Scientists say the seasonal high tides, which have created a nuisance in places like Miami Beach, Fort Lauderdale and the Keys for decades, are increasingly compounded by the rising seas that are spurred by climate change. Studies have found that millions of Floridians are at risk of being displaced by rising seas.
Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...rylink=cpy

Study up before ignorantly prattling on

(Oct 23, 2017 06:29 PM)Syne Wrote: Study up before ignorantly prattling on about imminent doom.  Rolleyes

... ?
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#6
Syne Offline
(Oct 24, 2017 08:25 AM)RainbowUnicorn Wrote: i will keep it simple for you & stick to 1 single issue.

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and...ybees.html


Quote:That’s because honeybee populations are not in decline. They haven’t been for a few years now. In fact, many experts believe that honeybees are not in any imminent danger of extinction.
where are the references  to this core principal ?
MISSING !
no links to scientific data !
why is that ?
because it is a manipulation of laymans terms to render a qwasi science pretense.

What? You can't be bothered to simply google "honey bee population"? O_o
I'm not here to spoon feed the intellectually lazy, baby bird.
Afraid it will dash your confirmation bias to go looking it up for yourself?
Must be much easier to deny the science if you can simply dismiss the source and avoid finding any yourself.

Quote:considering around 50% of global honeybees have died off one would seem it to be scientifically honest to note the actual figures and attribute the "ideological conspiracy theory" to the facts.
however it is a claim with no reference or data to back it up.
i could sit here all day posting links to scientific organisations all over the world spanning years in many different languages documenting the honybee die off.
however i am talking science and you are talking religion.

You're talking out of your ass. Do you even realize that Slate is a leftist source? Here's another:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk...add762f461

Seriously. The only one ignoring scientific evidence for ideological reasons here is obviously you.  Rolleyes
Beekeepers always have some seasonal die off, and they simply buy more bees. So they have to buy more bees than usual. That doesn't mean that the global bee population is nearing "endangered" levels. Beekeepers losing 50% of their hives is not "50% of global honeybees". Learn to parse simple English.



"1 single issue", huh?

Quote:Florida suffering from climate change sea level rise expereinces flooding while no rain

https://www.livescience.com/60648-king-t...reets.html
Quote: The rash of flooding was instead the work of so-called king tides, the highest high tides of the year, brought on by a combination of seasonal factors and the alignment of the gravitational pull of the sun and the moon.

The floods from this annual event effectively allow locals to "step into a time machine" and glimpse their future as global warming drives up sea levels at an ever-faster pace, said Brian McNoldy, a tropical meteorologist at the University of Miami. The level of today's highest tides could become the average level for high tides of the future, scientists say. [6 Unexpected Effects of Climate Change]

Yeah, "a combination of seasonal factors", like hurricanes.  Rolleyes
"...could become" doesn't mean "will become".   Dodgy

Quote:http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170403...level-rise
BLUE SKIES !

Quote:Look beyond all the glass and steel, though, and – despite the federal government’s sidelining of the issue – there’s another thrum of activity. It’s the wastewater treatment plant constructing new buildings five feet higher than the old ones. The 105 miles (169km) of roads being raised in Miami Beach. The new shopping mall built with flood gates. The 116 tidal valves installed in Fort Lauderdale. The seawalls being raised and repaired. And the worried conversations between more and more residents every year about what the sea-rise models predict – and what to do about it.

From your source:
"But because parts of the facility are expected to last 75 years or more, resilience to higher sea levels and storm surge has been baked into the design. Analysts ran what would be needed in a worst-case scenario: a category five hurricane during a king tide, with maximum rainfall.
...
But many developers aren’t thinking to 2050 or 2100. Their focus is on the time from construction to sale. In a hot real estate market like south Florida, where a lot of investors are foreign or periodic visitors, that timeframe is far shorter – a few years at most." - http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170403...level-rise

They're building for "worst-case scenario", not imminent threat. Learn to read...or at least read beyond what you think confirms your bias.

Quote:http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...59967.html

Quote:Scientists say the seasonal high tides, which have created a nuisance in places like Miami Beach, Fort Lauderdale and the Keys for decades, are increasingly compounded by the rising seas that are spurred by climate change. Studies have found that millions of Floridians are at risk of being displaced by rising seas

Damn, can't you even read the VERY FIRST SENTENCE?

"This year’s seasonal king tides swelled again Thursday morning in South Florida, boosted by offshore currents from Hurricane Nicole." - http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...59967.html

Everything else is speculation.

"Melting ice in Greenland has already caused sea levels to creep up, which scientists fear could accelerate rapidly if the planet continues warming. But the rate and amount are too variable to include in models." - http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...41672.html
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#7
stryder Offline
I remember posting something in an attempt to aid a BBC Scientist/Reporter that had recently been chewed up on US television by Climatology denialist's.

The problem with such denialist's was they tend to suggested that there is no proof that mankind has factored in, in any way in regards to Climate change. My suggestion to him at the time was to look at the overall climate information, especially in regards to both the First and Second World war. Each war saw a massive increase in a number of countries industrial engines as they created munitions, weapons and armour. The wars themselves also created a massive toll in reducing farms and woodlands into raging battle scene, cities could and did burn for days.

There was in fact a markable change in the data in relationship to those time points (at least in regards to to the figures I'd seen at the time) which did indeed look like they collated together to generate "proof". I'm sure denialists however would just suggest it was spin.
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#8
Syne Offline
I don't deny a human impact...only the supposed surety of its magnitude and catastrophic import.
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#9
RainbowUnicorn Offline
(Oct 24, 2017 05:12 PM)Syne Wrote:
(Oct 24, 2017 08:25 AM)RainbowUnicorn Wrote: i will keep it simple for you & stick to 1 single issue.

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and...ybees.html


Quote:That’s because honeybee populations are not in decline. They haven’t been for a few years now. In fact, many experts believe that honeybees are not in any imminent danger of extinction.
where are the references  to this core principal ?
MISSING !
no links to scientific data !
why is that ?
because it is a manipulation of laymans terms to render a qwasi science pretense.

What? You can't be bothered to simply google "honey bee population"? O_o
I'm not here to spoon feed the intellectually lazy, baby bird.
Afraid it will dash your confirmation bias to go looking it up for yourself?
Must be much easier to deny the science if you can simply dismiss the source and avoid finding any yourself.

Quote:considering around 50% of global honeybees have died off one would seem it to be scientifically honest to note the actual figures and attribute the "ideological conspiracy theory" to the facts.
however it is a claim with no reference or data to back it up.
i could sit here all day posting links to scientific organisations all over the world spanning years in many different languages documenting the honybee die off.
however i am talking science and you are talking religion.

You're talking out of your ass. Do you even realize that Slate is a leftist source? Here's another:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk...add762f461

Seriously. The only one ignoring scientific evidence for ideological reasons here is obviously you.  Rolleyes
Beekeepers always have some seasonal die off, and they simply buy more bees. So they have to buy more bees than usual. That doesn't mean that the global bee population is nearing "endangered" levels. Beekeepers losing 50% of their hives is not "50% of global honeybees". Learn to parse simple English.



"1 single issue", huh?

Quote:Florida suffering from climate change sea level rise expereinces flooding while no rain

https://www.livescience.com/60648-king-t...reets.html
Quote: The rash of flooding was instead the work of so-called king tides, the highest high tides of the year, brought on by a combination of seasonal factors and the alignment of the gravitational pull of the sun and the moon.

The floods from this annual event effectively allow locals to "step into a time machine" and glimpse their future as global warming drives up sea levels at an ever-faster pace, said Brian McNoldy, a tropical meteorologist at the University of Miami. The level of today's highest tides could become the average level for high tides of the future, scientists say. [6 Unexpected Effects of Climate Change]

Yeah, "a combination of seasonal factors", like hurricanes.  Rolleyes
"...could become" doesn't mean "will become".   Dodgy

Quote:http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170403...level-rise
BLUE SKIES !

Quote:Look beyond all the glass and steel, though, and – despite the federal government’s sidelining of the issue – there’s another thrum of activity. It’s the wastewater treatment plant constructing new buildings five feet higher than the old ones. The 105 miles (169km) of roads being raised in Miami Beach. The new shopping mall built with flood gates. The 116 tidal valves installed in Fort Lauderdale. The seawalls being raised and repaired. And the worried conversations between more and more residents every year about what the sea-rise models predict – and what to do about it.

From your source:
"But because parts of the facility are expected to last 75 years or more, resilience to higher sea levels and storm surge has been baked into the design. Analysts ran what would be needed in a worst-case scenario: a category five hurricane during a king tide, with maximum rainfall.
...
But many developers aren’t thinking to 2050 or 2100. Their focus is on the time from construction to sale. In a hot real estate market like south Florida, where a lot of investors are foreign or periodic visitors, that timeframe is far shorter – a few years at most." - http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170403...level-rise

They're building for "worst-case scenario", not imminent threat. Learn to read...or at least read beyond what you think confirms your bias.

Quote:http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...59967.html

Quote:Scientists say the seasonal high tides, which have created a nuisance in places like Miami Beach, Fort Lauderdale and the Keys for decades, are increasingly compounded by the rising seas that are spurred by climate change. Studies have found that millions of Floridians are at risk of being displaced by rising seas

Damn, can't you even read the VERY FIRST SENTENCE?

"This year’s seasonal king tides swelled again Thursday morning in South Florida, boosted by offshore currents from Hurricane Nicole." - http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...59967.html

Everything else is speculation.

"Melting ice in Greenland has already caused sea levels to creep up, which scientists fear could accelerate rapidly if the planet continues warming. But the rate and amount are too variable to include in models." - http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/en...41672.html

lol

(Oct 25, 2017 03:32 AM)stryder Wrote: I remember posting something in an attempt to aid a BBC Scientist/Reporter that had recently been chewed up on US television by Climatology denialist's.

The problem with such denialist's was they tend to suggested that there is no proof that mankind has factored in, in any way in regards to Climate change.  My suggestion to him at the time was to look at the overall climate information, especially in regards to both the First and Second World war.  Each war saw a massive increase in a number of countries industrial engines as they created munitions, weapons and armour.  The wars themselves also created a massive toll in reducing farms and woodlands into raging battle scene, cities could and did burn for days.

There was in fact a markable change in the data in relationship to those time points (at least in regards to to the figures I'd seen at the time) which did indeed look like they collated together to generate "proof".  I'm sure denialists however would just suggest it was spin.

i think it is probably wound up in short term investment,
Ego, ...
and a game of chicken played out by people whom think they are only gambling with other peoples(working class) lifes and not their own or their childrens(or friends).

the ladder of denial seems to be swung quite clearly from a point of either conspiracy theory advocates, OR those whom live above & well beyond the means of the average worker.

What does complicate the issue is the religious element of human nature, in the process of giving up and claiming the giving up process to be gods will.
The irony of such modis operandi is not lost on me.
Reply
#10
Syne Offline
(Oct 25, 2017 11:15 AM)RainbowUnicorn Wrote: lol

Nice to see you can laugh at your own ignorance. Easy way to quell cognitive dissonance. You know, other than actually learning better.
Reply


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