Second most cited climate paper fatally flawed

[Syne]

The flawed study was the second most cited climate paper in 2024 by news outlets and on social media, according to one analysis.

However, a new analysis published in Nature this month found that “data anomalies” from one country, Uzbekistan, wildly skewed the “predicted impacts of climate change.”
- https://www.dailywire.com/news/democrats...-all-bogus



Kotz, Levermann and Wenz1 (henceforth, KLW) analysed how subnational gross domestic product (GDP) growth responds to year-to-year changes in temperature and precipitation. They reported that if historical relationships continue to hold, global GDP would be lowered by roughly 62% (central estimate) in 2100 under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 ‘high emissions’ scenario, an impact roughly 3 times larger than similar previous estimates2,3. Here we show that (1) data anomalies arising from one country in KLW’s underlying GDP dataset, Uzbekistan, substantially bias their predicted impacts of climate change, (2) KLW underestimate statistical uncertainty in their future projections of climate impacts, and (3) additional data-quality concerns in KLW’s subnational GDP data warrant further investigation. When Uzbekistan’s data are removed and statistical uncertainty is corrected to account for spatial correlations, KLW’s central estimate aligns closely with previous literature and their results are no longer statistically distinguishable from mitigation costs at any time this century.
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09320-4

[confused2]

What a gift! Once and for all it proves global warming is leftist lie - the totally unbiased Koch Foundation are the only ones you can actually trust.

[Syne]

Oh, did that upset you?
Defensive people often do lash out with wild straw men.

[confused2]

Oh, did that upset you?
Defensive people often do lash out with wild straw men.

More a comment on the sort of people attracted to The Daily Wire and the reaction I'd expect..

erichealey
Top Commenter
Another institution that lost and has no credibility. I laugh at climate change. I really don’t GAF!

[Syne]

You did see the quote/link from Nature, right?
You do know that the Daily Wire has no affiliation with the Koch family, right?

While the Koch brothers are known for their extensive political and philanthropic activities, particularly in promoting free market and limited government principles, their network has not been directly linked to funding the Daily Wire. - Google AI

Seems it did upset you, and now you're desperately trying to distract. Genetic fallacies, conspiracy theories... 9_9

[confused2]

My reference to the Koch Foundation was simply that they are well known as a stalking horse for climate change denial.

You didn't know that .. of course you didn't.

https://www.greenpeace.org/usa/climate/c...nt-groups/

From 1997 to 2017, the Kochs funneled $127,006,756 to 92 organizations that advance the Kochs’ attacks on climate change science while presenting themselves as experts. These organizations are listed below:[not by by browser!]

https://www.campaigncc.org/climate_chang...cs/funders

Brothers Charles and David Koch own the controlling shares (84%) of Koch Industries, a massive conglomerate ranked as the second largest, privately owned company in America. This wealth is based mainly on fossil fuels.

[Syne]

So Koch was a completely irrelevant conspiracy theory. Got it.

Has nothing to do with the fact that this widely push climate paper was false.

[confused2]

Whatever interpretation of facts that you think is correct (for you) will (surprise!) seem correct (for you).

[Syne]

Well then, dispute the corrected data. Quit being a mealymouthed twat.