The flawed study was the second most cited climate paper in 2024 by news outlets and on social media, according to one analysis.

However, a new analysis published in Nature this month found that “data anomalies” from one country, Uzbekistan, wildly skewed the “predicted impacts of climate change.”
- https://www.dailywire.com/news/democrats-love-citing-this-one-climate-change-study-turns-out-its-all-bogus



Kotz, Levermann and Wenz1 (henceforth, KLW) analysed how subnational gross domestic product (GDP) growth responds to year-to-year changes in temperature and precipitation. They reported that if historical relationships continue to hold, global GDP would be lowered by roughly 62% (central estimate) in 2100 under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 ‘high emissions’ scenario, an impact roughly 3 times larger than similar previous estimates2,3. Here we show that (1) data anomalies arising from one country in KLW’s underlying GDP dataset, Uzbekistan, substantially bias their predicted impacts of climate change, (2) KLW underestimate statistical uncertainty in their future projections of climate impacts, and (3) additional data-quality concerns in KLW’s subnational GDP data warrant further investigation. When Uzbekistan’s data are removed and statistical uncertainty is corrected to account for spatial correlations, KLW’s central estimate aligns closely with previous literature and their results are no longer statistically distinguishable from mitigation costs at any time this century.
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09320-4

(Aug 16, 2025 06:19 PM)Syne Wrote: Oh, did that upset you?
Defensive people often do lash out with wild straw men.

Quote:erichealey
Top Commenter
Another institution that lost and has no credibility. I laugh at climate change. I really don’t GAF!

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