M 6.0 - 135km ENE of L'Esperance Rock, New Zealand
I
ShakeMapGREEN
PAGER
Time 2019-06-17 06:02:05 (UTC)
Location 30.938°S 177.597°W
Depth 16.0 km
massive amount of activity around here.
soo much so that i am looking to indicators of continued deep movement around fiji and the other islands with new deep movement through indonesia
M 5.0 - 20km SSW of Lailunggi, Indonesia
Time 2019-06-16 20:13:57 (UTC)
Location 10.351°S 120.055°E
Depth 52.1 km
M 5.0 - 256km WNW of Saumlaki, Indonesia
IV
DYFI?
Time 2019-06-17 04:01:50 (UTC)
Location 6.824°S 129.283°E
Depth 175.1 km
M 5.5 - 42km SE of Watubuku, Indonesia
IV
DYFI?IV
ShakeMapGREEN
PAGER
Time 2019-06-17 05:43:31 (UTC)
Location8.850°S 123.036°E
Depth 109.1 km
soo i am looking where there is very little to no movement for a while and that is the Philippines
after doing a bit of looking back at previous quakes, it appears there is a large 7.8 size every 2 years around the Philippines and Indonesia.
this seems to be overdue by almost a year.
from roughly looking at that data, statistically there is only around a 10% chance that 7.8 is shallow enough to the surface or close enough to the land to cause any serious issues.
but these things cant really be predicted.
we are now globally entering a new phase of natural disaster
now that we have massive amounts of rain in places over very short time where there is quakes, it presents a new natural disaster of landslides.
hillsides that have stood for over 100 years etc can slide from being soaked with a years worth of rain in just a day or soo on top of being already wet.
then a quake happens and the landslide starts.
or the heavy rain comes after a quake with smaller quakes afterward triggering land slides.
liquefaction may be an increasing issue around such heavily saturated areas.
M 6.4 - 140km NE of L'Esperance Rock, New Zealand
I
ShakeMapGREEN
PAGER
Time 2019-06-19 07:01:42 (UTC)
Location 30.600°S 177.787°W
Depth 10.0 km
(Jun 19, 2019 01:21 AM)RainbowUnicorn Wrote: [ -> ]we are now globally entering a new phase of natural disaster
now that we have massive amounts of rain in places over very short time where there is quakes, it presents a new natural disaster of landslides.
hillsides that have stood for over 100 years etc can slide from being soaked with a years worth of rain in just a day or soo on top of being already wet.
then a quake happens and the landslide starts.
or the heavy rain comes after a quake with smaller quakes afterward triggering land slides.
liquefaction may be an increasing issue around such heavily saturated areas.
In course of wondering about the tally of global-wide calamities so far this year... Wasn't aware that GDACS actually had a live site mapping and charting the range of disasters from floods, droughts, volcanoes, tropical cyclones, and earthquakes. New events over the last four days in bold, with older ones in faded font.
Global Disaster Alert And Coordination System
http://www.gdacs.org/
###
(Jun 20, 2019 01:48 AM)C C Wrote: [ -> ] (Jun 19, 2019 01:21 AM)RainbowUnicorn Wrote: [ -> ]we are now globally entering a new phase of natural disaster
now that we have massive amounts of rain in places over very short time where there is quakes, it presents a new natural disaster of landslides.
hillsides that have stood for over 100 years etc can slide from being soaked with a years worth of rain in just a day or soo on top of being already wet.
then a quake happens and the landslide starts.
or the heavy rain comes after a quake with smaller quakes afterward triggering land slides.
liquefaction may be an increasing issue around such heavily saturated areas.
In course of wondering about the tally of global-wide calamities so far this year... Wasn't aware that GDACS actually had a live site mapping and charting the range of disasters from floods, droughts, volcanoes, tropical cyclones, and earthquakes. New events over the last four days in bold, with older ones in faded font.
Global Disaster Alert And Coordination System
http://www.gdacs.org/
###
thanks, will have to have a look at it.
i forget why i stopped looking at the previous one i use to use.
south east asia is well over due for a big one fyi
with all this movement around the plate edge over the last 2 weeks and still nothing significant in indo/Philippines....
its a matter of when not if.
'where' is the big issue and how deep.
there has been many 7.8 size quakes that have had little to no effect because of their location and depth.
the activity around the kermadecs etc seems unusual
but the sun spots are 0 and the solar wind is maxing and the moon is full
hhmmm..
i noticed some historic larger quakes with no smaller lead up quakes around such conditions on occasions.
the activity dies down to almost nothing, then a large quake in a semi isolated position while all the normal activity almost stops.
i didnt track the solar activity of those only planetary alignment and luna cycle.
i think japan could well do with some xray of their hillside areas.