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Correlation isn't Causation

#1
Yazata Online
Correlation isn't Causation... or maybe it is.

US spending on science, space and technology has a 99.79% correlation with suicides by hanging, strangulation and suffocation.

The number of drownings by falls into swimming pools has a 66.6% correlation with the number of films that Nicholas Cage appears in annually.

Worldwide consumption of mozzarella cheese has a 95.86% correlation to the number of civil engineering degrees awarded.

The age of Miss America has an 87% correlation with murders by steam, hot vapors and hot objects.

The annual divorce rate in Maine has a 99.26% correlation with per-capita consumption of margarine.

Tyler Vigen, a former military intelligence analyst turned Harvard law student, has a computer algorithm that detects correlations in fluctuations in numerical time-series data. So just shovel in the data and watch to see what weird correlations the computer finds.

http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

It really makes me wonder about the credibility of so-called "social sciences" where statistical correlations between A and B are often the best evidence that they can produce.

Number of math doctorates awarded has a 95.23% correlation to amount of uranium stored at nuclear power plants! (Who knew?)
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#2
Syne Offline
(Dec 24, 2016 08:15 PM)Yazata Wrote: It really makes me wonder about the credibility of so-called "social sciences" where statistical correlations between A and B are often the best evidence that they can produce.

Number of math doctorates awarded has a 95.23% correlation to amount of uranium stored at nuclear power plants! (Who knew?)

While spurious correlation cannot be causative, except in predictions about election outcomes, they are fun. There's a very good reason the social sciences are considered "soft science". But maybe the upside is that Trump's latest talk about nuclear weapons will give mathematics degrees a shot in the arm.
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