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(This post was last modified: 11 hours ago by C C.)
RELATED (scivillage): On the death of RCP8
Roger Pielke Jr. isn't satisfied with just "winning", though. Rub it in...
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No, RCP8.5 did not become implausible because of climate policy
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/no-...mplausible
EXCERPT: Each of these framings rests on a common logic: RCP8.5 once described a plausible trajectory; subsequent policy progress and technology cost trends moved the world away from it; therefore the scenario became implausible.3
This story, were it true, would be incredibly convenient for the climate science community. Rather than introducing a flawed scenario to the world that dominated climate science and policy for more than a decade — and then stubbornly defending it — this retelling characterizes the climate science community as near-infallible and heroic.
This story is not true. RCP8.5, and other extreme scenarios, were never plausible... (MORE - missing details)
Roger Pielke Jr. isn't satisfied with just "winning", though. Rub it in...
- - - - - - - - - - -
No, RCP8.5 did not become implausible because of climate policy
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/no-...mplausible
EXCERPT: Each of these framings rests on a common logic: RCP8.5 once described a plausible trajectory; subsequent policy progress and technology cost trends moved the world away from it; therefore the scenario became implausible.3
This story, were it true, would be incredibly convenient for the climate science community. Rather than introducing a flawed scenario to the world that dominated climate science and policy for more than a decade — and then stubbornly defending it — this retelling characterizes the climate science community as near-infallible and heroic.
This story is not true. RCP8.5, and other extreme scenarios, were never plausible... (MORE - missing details)