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Will you lose your job to automation?

#1
C C Offline
http://machineslikeus.com/news/will-you-...automation

EXCERPT: Australia faces some tough policy decisions to reshape its economy and prepare for an uncertain future, with predictions that up to five million jobs are likely to be automated by 2030 [...]

The researchers were looking at the probability of job losses due to computerisation and automation, and found that nearly 40% of Australian jobs that exist today that are at risk. They reported an even higher likelihood of job losses in parts of rural and regional Australia, with more than 60% at risk.

These challenges are not confined to Australia, but face every developed economy. It is how we adapt to this technological change that will determine our future economic prosperity, says CEDA’s chief executive, Professor Stephen Martin: "Australia and the world is on the cusp of a new but very different industrial revolution and it is important that we are planning now to ensure our economy does not get left behind."....
#2
stryder Offline
If you run a business and your employee's pay contributions to pensions or healthcare, perhaps they should be paying towards the future automation of the business. So that should your business get to the point of being heavily automated and there are layoff's, they can still have shares in the business as benefactors for funding the automation in the first place.

In essence it's like the automation employed is still paid a medial wage, but it goes to the people that otherwise would have been doing the job.
#3
Yazata Offline
It isn't just Australia. I've seen estimates that 50% of American jobs will be lost to automation in the next few decades.

Between this and 'off-shoring' jobs to Asia, I get depressed when I think about the future. We might end up with only a minority of the population working, with significantly less than 10% of Americans becoming an incredibly wealthy new nobility, composed of celebrities and various elites (media, business, educational and government) while most of the rest of 'middle-America' becomes a new serf class.

Kind of the undoing of the 'industrial revolution', a neo-medieval reversion.

We're all supposed to welcome it though, because we will all get cool new Chinese-made cell-phones.
#4
Magical Realist Offline
"... lower-skill workers have been protected by the Moravec moat. Hans Moravec was a futurist who pointed out that machine technology mimicked a savant infant: Machines could do long math equations instantly and beat anybody in chess, but they can't answer a simple question or walk up a flight of stairs. As a result, menial work done by people without much education (like home health care workers, or fast-food attendants) have been spared, too.

But perhaps we've hit an inflection point. As Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee pointed out in their book Race Against the Machine (and in their new book The Second Machine Age), robots are finally crossing these moats by moving and thinking like people. Amazon has bought robots to work its warehouses. Narrative Science can write earnings summaries that are indistinguishable from wire reports. We can say to our phones I'm lost, help and our phones can tell us how to get home.

Computers that can drive cars, in particular, were never supposed to happen. Even ten years ago, many engineers said it was impossible. Navigating a crowded street isn't mindlessly routine. It needs a deft combination of spacial awareness, soft focus, and constant anticipation--skills that are quintessentially human. But I don't need to tell you about Google's self-driving cars, because they're one of the most over-covered stories in tech today."====http://www.theatlantic.com/business/arch...ke/283239/


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[Image: 672111.jpg]

#5
stryder Offline
I posed a story board for a game idea some time back that look at a future where automation becomes abundant and the only possible way for a person to survive is either to buy share in the companies that make the machines, or buy the machines themselves and then sublease them to the companies that would otherwise have employed them.

While that future hasn't fully dawned yet, there was a mention of something that is a step in that direction:

Quote:Pepper robot to go on sale to public in Japan
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-33183360

Pepper, the humanoid robot that its makers say can recognise and respond to human emotions, goes on sale in Japan this weekend.

SoftBank, the company behind the robot, is planning to release 1,000 robots every month.

Pepper will sell for 198,000 yen (£1,000), and businesses will be able to rent it for 1,500 yen an hour.  ...


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