Oct 9, 2024 12:55 AM
(This post was last modified: Oct 9, 2024 12:56 AM by C C.)
PETER ZEIHAN
https://youtu.be/giOt4Zot1lI
VIDEO EXCERPTS: The Chinese new nuclear attack submarine sank at a dock via Wuhan. It was a first-in-class ship, and first-in-class ships are notoriously buggy, but they usually don’t just, you know, sink...
[...] Now, I don’t want to suggest that submarine engineering is easy, especially nuclear submarine engineering, but I gotta say, like, the definition of a submarine is something that doesn’t sink unless there’s a torpedo in it. So getting the basics wrong on this sort of thing is beyond embarrassing.
[...] The Chinese have something called deep ultraviolet technology that they’re pretty decent at, and chips that are in the 80-90 nanometer range or dumber, they can make themselves...
[...] Most of the chips being made today—things that are, as a rule, 20 nanometers and smaller—don’t use that technology unless you want to be wildly inefficient with it. Instead, they use something called extreme ultraviolet lithography, which is a technology basically completely controlled by the Dutch company ASML.
[...] I don’t mean to say this to insult the Chinese. I mean to say this to insult everyone. No country controls enough of the semiconductor supply chain for anything that’s mid- or high-tier chips to do it themselves. You’re talking about a constellation of thousands of companies and dozens of countries, and it really does take a village.
So, the Chinese desire to do all of this in-house? It’s just not going to happen, or at least not without a significant shift in how this technology works.
[...] So, we’re looking at a tightening technological noose ... Because, even at the depths of the Trump administration, when relations with allies were at their lowest, you still had countries that needed the United States for this, that, or the other thing. And so the United States was able to do technological sanctions on things like lithography that basically stalled the entire Chinese technological push.
[...] It takes everyone, played out across the economy, and there’s only so much the Chinese can do. They just don’t do the high-end stuff at all. They do the low end; they do the assembly. And that’s a multi-trillion-dollar operation—that’s not something to be scoffed at. But that’s not the same thing as parity, nuclear or otherwise...
China, Navy, Nukes, Tech, and Politics
https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/giOt4Zot1lI
https://youtu.be/giOt4Zot1lI
VIDEO EXCERPTS: The Chinese new nuclear attack submarine sank at a dock via Wuhan. It was a first-in-class ship, and first-in-class ships are notoriously buggy, but they usually don’t just, you know, sink...
[...] Now, I don’t want to suggest that submarine engineering is easy, especially nuclear submarine engineering, but I gotta say, like, the definition of a submarine is something that doesn’t sink unless there’s a torpedo in it. So getting the basics wrong on this sort of thing is beyond embarrassing.
[...] The Chinese have something called deep ultraviolet technology that they’re pretty decent at, and chips that are in the 80-90 nanometer range or dumber, they can make themselves...
[...] Most of the chips being made today—things that are, as a rule, 20 nanometers and smaller—don’t use that technology unless you want to be wildly inefficient with it. Instead, they use something called extreme ultraviolet lithography, which is a technology basically completely controlled by the Dutch company ASML.
[...] I don’t mean to say this to insult the Chinese. I mean to say this to insult everyone. No country controls enough of the semiconductor supply chain for anything that’s mid- or high-tier chips to do it themselves. You’re talking about a constellation of thousands of companies and dozens of countries, and it really does take a village.
So, the Chinese desire to do all of this in-house? It’s just not going to happen, or at least not without a significant shift in how this technology works.
[...] So, we’re looking at a tightening technological noose ... Because, even at the depths of the Trump administration, when relations with allies were at their lowest, you still had countries that needed the United States for this, that, or the other thing. And so the United States was able to do technological sanctions on things like lithography that basically stalled the entire Chinese technological push.
[...] It takes everyone, played out across the economy, and there’s only so much the Chinese can do. They just don’t do the high-end stuff at all. They do the low end; they do the assembly. And that’s a multi-trillion-dollar operation—that’s not something to be scoffed at. But that’s not the same thing as parity, nuclear or otherwise...
China, Navy, Nukes, Tech, and Politics