Jul 17, 2024 12:22 AM
(This post was last modified: Jul 17, 2024 12:37 AM by C C.)
PETER ZEIHAN
https://youtu.be/FuzTJRReDMI
VIDEO EXCERPTS: . . . Donald Trump was lightly injured in an assassination attempt...
[...] The whole point of the post World War II global consensus was that the Americans will take care of the guns [provide protection, world policeman] and keep everyone safe. The Americans will open the market and make the global seas safe for everyone's commerce, if in exchange you side with the Americans in the Cold War.
That provided the basis for everything from the alliance with Taiwan, Korea, and Japan to NATO, and that's created the world that we know.
It also created the economic backdrop and the security backdrop that made the rise of China possible, because during the late Cold War China was one of those allies.
Well, that whole system is breaking down. Two reasons.
Number one, the Americans can't pay for it anymore, and don't want to. The Americans have refashioned their Navy, so instead of hundreds of ships that can patrol the oceans, they have a few clusters of ships that are really good for fighting wars.
So the ability of having that global coverage isn't there, and Americans politically are tired of paying the economic price of keeping the world open for every one. Because it's put everybody else at an advantage versus American workers, and that just doesn't fly in today's populist era.
The second issue is that when countries do economically develop [...] after seven decades of urbanization, people are having fewer and fewer children around the world. ... You're running out of the necessary people...
This decade -- the 2020s -- was always going to be the decade that a lot of countries slipped away from having a workforce that can support the globalist system in the first place. After all, if you don't have consumption, you don't have trade.
So there's a radical transition taking place. The American political network is evolving, and the global economic network is collapsing.
And reforming what this all means... Involves a lot of change out there in the way we live, the way we work, who we service with our businesses, where we get our goods. And when things change, people with a vested interest in the system don't always make it. And people get scared, and people get angry, and that is when you get violence.
We're going to get it at the state level with a series of military conflicts, the first of those is already happening in Ukraine. We'll probably get one in China before long. And in the case of the United States in carries a political change like this.
That's when we get our domestic political violence you had in the 1930s, when we had the Great Depression and that political reorientation. It happened with Reconstruction, and it happened with the Civil War.
So I don't want to suggest that this is the beginning of more of the same. I'm saying that the factors that define our world are evolving, and we're going to change with it.
For the United States overall, this is a net gain in many, many ways. But going through the process of getting from where we've been, and what we're comfortable with, to where we're going, is something that's unknown. Unfortunately, it's going to generate a lot of stresses along the way, and we saw some of that in the assassination attempt...
Assassination attempt and a changing world
https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/FuzTJRReDMI
https://youtu.be/FuzTJRReDMI
VIDEO EXCERPTS: . . . Donald Trump was lightly injured in an assassination attempt...
[...] The whole point of the post World War II global consensus was that the Americans will take care of the guns [provide protection, world policeman] and keep everyone safe. The Americans will open the market and make the global seas safe for everyone's commerce, if in exchange you side with the Americans in the Cold War.
That provided the basis for everything from the alliance with Taiwan, Korea, and Japan to NATO, and that's created the world that we know.
It also created the economic backdrop and the security backdrop that made the rise of China possible, because during the late Cold War China was one of those allies.
Well, that whole system is breaking down. Two reasons.
Number one, the Americans can't pay for it anymore, and don't want to. The Americans have refashioned their Navy, so instead of hundreds of ships that can patrol the oceans, they have a few clusters of ships that are really good for fighting wars.
So the ability of having that global coverage isn't there, and Americans politically are tired of paying the economic price of keeping the world open for every one. Because it's put everybody else at an advantage versus American workers, and that just doesn't fly in today's populist era.
The second issue is that when countries do economically develop [...] after seven decades of urbanization, people are having fewer and fewer children around the world. ... You're running out of the necessary people...
This decade -- the 2020s -- was always going to be the decade that a lot of countries slipped away from having a workforce that can support the globalist system in the first place. After all, if you don't have consumption, you don't have trade.
So there's a radical transition taking place. The American political network is evolving, and the global economic network is collapsing.
And reforming what this all means... Involves a lot of change out there in the way we live, the way we work, who we service with our businesses, where we get our goods. And when things change, people with a vested interest in the system don't always make it. And people get scared, and people get angry, and that is when you get violence.
We're going to get it at the state level with a series of military conflicts, the first of those is already happening in Ukraine. We'll probably get one in China before long. And in the case of the United States in carries a political change like this.
That's when we get our domestic political violence you had in the 1930s, when we had the Great Depression and that political reorientation. It happened with Reconstruction, and it happened with the Civil War.
So I don't want to suggest that this is the beginning of more of the same. I'm saying that the factors that define our world are evolving, and we're going to change with it.
For the United States overall, this is a net gain in many, many ways. But going through the process of getting from where we've been, and what we're comfortable with, to where we're going, is something that's unknown. Unfortunately, it's going to generate a lot of stresses along the way, and we saw some of that in the assassination attempt...
Assassination attempt and a changing world