Jun 3, 2024 11:45 PM
(This post was last modified: Jun 4, 2024 07:16 AM by C C.)
Can former President Trump 'make felonies great again'?
https://youtu.be/KK6BEuBVdGM
VIDEO EXCERPT (Peter Zeihan): . . . Everyone seems to have forgotten that the 10% of the electorate who are Independents are just kind of nauseated by the whole thing. Independents have decided every presidential election since the early 1960s, and they are not going to vote for somebody who now has 34 felonies under his belt. So as far as I'm concerned, this percentage has decided the election. There are other reasons to think that Trump was already in trouble, but this really makes it impossible for him to win. Uh, assuming of course that Biden doesn't die... (Forbes: After conviction, nearly half of independents want Trump to drop his campaign)
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Why Trump will lead Republicans to historic defeat
https://youtu.be/qM4SaQOHacM
VIDEO EXCERPTS (Peter Zeihan): The Republican alliance is not what it used to be. One of the reasons why the Republicans have always done well at the national level is that they've got a very tight coalition. And the factions within their coalition don't fight.
[...] Democrats [in contrast] are very la dah. You've got your coastal urban elites, you've got your minorities, you've got organized labor -- and they fight among themselves all the time. They may have more voters, but whenever an issue comes up -- a real issue, not just charisma, then the factions start fighting. And some of them just won't show up to vote. So the Republicans tend to win.
What Donald Trump has done is he has broken up that Republican alliance, and he set them off against each other. He ejected the business community from Congress, and he encouraged fights among the social conservatives, and other factions.
[...] Now they won't even talk to one another, so you can't get all the Republicans to show up. Since they have fewer numbers, they're automatically going to lose to the Democrats.
Everyone seems to have forgotten what happened in the midterms [2022]. There was supposed to be a red wave. (US midterms: Why a Republican 'wave' never happened ..... How independent voters saved Democrats in 2022 ..... GOP report on 2022 election struggles)
[...] What happened was Donald Trump told Independent voters that the general election doesn't matter. Primaries are the only thing that matters [...???...] Republicans have never won a national election unless they've carried the Independents two to one.
[...] I think what we're going to see is Trump may be capturing 10 to 12 states, none of them big -- not counting Texas. And leading the Republicans into the second or third-worst electoral outcome in American history. Which is going to force a rationalization of the party in some way...
Why Trump will lead Republicans to historic defeat
https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/qM4SaQOHacM
https://youtu.be/KK6BEuBVdGM
VIDEO EXCERPT (Peter Zeihan): . . . Everyone seems to have forgotten that the 10% of the electorate who are Independents are just kind of nauseated by the whole thing. Independents have decided every presidential election since the early 1960s, and they are not going to vote for somebody who now has 34 felonies under his belt. So as far as I'm concerned, this percentage has decided the election. There are other reasons to think that Trump was already in trouble, but this really makes it impossible for him to win. Uh, assuming of course that Biden doesn't die... (Forbes: After conviction, nearly half of independents want Trump to drop his campaign)
- - - - - - - - - - - - -
Why Trump will lead Republicans to historic defeat
https://youtu.be/qM4SaQOHacM
VIDEO EXCERPTS (Peter Zeihan): The Republican alliance is not what it used to be. One of the reasons why the Republicans have always done well at the national level is that they've got a very tight coalition. And the factions within their coalition don't fight.
[...] Democrats [in contrast] are very la dah. You've got your coastal urban elites, you've got your minorities, you've got organized labor -- and they fight among themselves all the time. They may have more voters, but whenever an issue comes up -- a real issue, not just charisma, then the factions start fighting. And some of them just won't show up to vote. So the Republicans tend to win.
What Donald Trump has done is he has broken up that Republican alliance, and he set them off against each other. He ejected the business community from Congress, and he encouraged fights among the social conservatives, and other factions.
[...] Now they won't even talk to one another, so you can't get all the Republicans to show up. Since they have fewer numbers, they're automatically going to lose to the Democrats.
Everyone seems to have forgotten what happened in the midterms [2022]. There was supposed to be a red wave. (US midterms: Why a Republican 'wave' never happened ..... How independent voters saved Democrats in 2022 ..... GOP report on 2022 election struggles)
[...] What happened was Donald Trump told Independent voters that the general election doesn't matter. Primaries are the only thing that matters [...???...] Republicans have never won a national election unless they've carried the Independents two to one.
[...] I think what we're going to see is Trump may be capturing 10 to 12 states, none of them big -- not counting Texas. And leading the Republicans into the second or third-worst electoral outcome in American history. Which is going to force a rationalization of the party in some way...
Why Trump will lead Republicans to historic defeat
