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Big Aurora Event Tonight (maybe into weekend)

#1
Yazata Offline
Vincent Ledvina (PhD student at the U. Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute) says

https://twitter.com/Vincent_Ledvina/stat...9238870459

Four (or more) strong CMEs are currently headed towards Earth! If they hit, aurora may be seen as far south as the U.S./Mexico border, France, Austria, and Ukraine, or as far north as Sydney and Christchurch. Activity could last into the weekend.

Here is where and when to expect aurora tonight. This is your chance!

This is one of the most exciting weeks for space weather in months! The Sun has been extremely active, launching a flurry of what are called coronal mass ejections (CMEs) out into space. These CMEs are like "Sun sneezes" - but instead of clouds of mucus (gross), the Sun sneezes out clouds of charged particles. These clouds, if they hit Earth and have the right magnetic configuration, can cause energy to penetrate our magnetic shield (Earth's magnetosphere) and cause auroras! Please note that this is an oversimplified explanation of a complex scientific process.

CMEs give the most spectacular auroral displays and cause the most powerful geomagnetic storms, and guess what? There are four (maybe more!) CMEs currently en route to Earth - how exciting!


NOAA graphic (Even in this more conservative prediction, it looks like Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba will see some spectacular auroral activity. And Alaska of course.)


[Image: GAM5zGva8AIjhOg?format=png&name=900x900]
[Image: GAM5zGva8AIjhOg?format=png&name=900x900]

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#2
Magical Realist Offline
As usual, Oregon skies will be providing their own breathtaking view of the rain clouds blanketing the entire state.
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#3
Yazata Offline
The first of the CME's has just reached an 'upstream' satellite at Earth's L1 Lagrange point.

(Between the Earth and the Sun. An object orbiting the Sun closer than the Earth will typically have a shorter orbital period than the Earth, but at L1 the Earth's gravity slows that period and creates a little point of stability where objects orbit along with the Earth. This allows satellites to station-keep relative to the Earth at a point closer to the Sun.)

https://twitter.com/Vincent_Ledvina/stat...3017494582

Here's real time solar wind data from NOAA. You can see the top graph suddenly get all out of whack.

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind

(Nov 30, 2023 08:58 PM)Magical Realist Wrote: As usual, Oregon skies will be providing their own breathtaking view of the rain clouds blanketing the entire state.

I'm not much better off. I'm further south and I'm near San Jose with lots of urban lights. If these auroras are visible this far south, they will be in the northern sky and best visible in dark-sky conditions. So I'm not expecting to see anything with my naked eyes.

But never fear, there are aurora webcams.

https://theauroraguy.com/pages/webcams

Here's the U. Alaska Fairbanks forecast


[Image: GAMsb1IXAAATVx_?format=jpg&name=small]
[Image: GAMsb1IXAAATVx_?format=jpg&name=small]

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#4
C C Offline
(Dec 1, 2023 02:52 AM)Yazata Wrote:
(Nov 30, 2023 08:58 PM)Magical Realist Wrote: As usual, Oregon skies will be providing their own breathtaking view of the rain clouds blanketing the entire state.

I'm not much better off. I'm further south and I'm near San Jose with lots of urban lights. If these auroras are visible this far south, they will be in the northern sky and best visible in dark-sky conditions. So I'm not expecting to see anything with my naked eyes. (Shetland has a greenish hue right now.)

But never fear, there are aurora webcams.

https://theauroraguy.com/pages/webcams

Since the 360° view of some of those is freaking me out, I guess I'll be looking at these from among them, if they hang around. (Maine has music in its livestream. Some may be cloudy at the time of this post, or later.)

UPDATE: Oh, Greenland is the bee's knees right now! (You can go back earlier on the footage to see the most spectacular moments on the Greenland Kulusuk Airport West cam, though what was recorded will probably be gone/erased by tomorrow or some hours from now.)

LIVESTREAM CAMS

Greenland: Kulusuk Airport West
https://youtu.be/zlnqZxsAXOU

Greenland: Kulusuk Airport East
https://youtu.be/fpaqR1d_K0g

Greenland: Ilulissat Airport South
https://youtu.be/JQ0qoLU21Fo

Greenland: Tasiilaq Heliport
https://youtu.be/hfF9bhaBuvw

Iceland (Falkahreidur)
https://youtu.be/z8tSYbn1eu4

Banff, Alberta
https://youtu.be/2zt8AUDH8Us

University of Alaska Fairbanks
https://youtu.be/O52zDyxg5QI

Maine
https://www.neoc.com/webcam3/

Sodankylä, Finland
https://youtu.be/dkLjO4TE634

Sweden? (scroll down a smidge)
https://auroraskystation.se/live/

Shetland
https://www.shetlandwebcams.com/cliff-cam-3/

Finnish Lapland
https://youtu.be/5hU0D9chccs

North Dakota
https://youtu.be/8fhLP6wcy7Y
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#5
Yazata Offline
Thank you, CC!

I just went outside and looked north, but didn't see anything except a few airplanes and some stars. (I didn't really expect to see much.)

Most of the webcams look kind of underwhelming at the moment, but I'll keep checking in on them.
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#6
C C Offline
Most of the cams are showing something at this time tonight -- even North Dakota. But still not daylight Alaska.

Despite some clouds, "Banff, Canada" is giving old reliable "Greenland: Kulusuk Airport West" some significant competition.

I can never figure out if that greenish hue hovering over Shetland is some optical effect or a faint aspect of the real deal.

UPDATE: Greenland is still champ. Alaska is finally displaying a pink color. Also seems safe to say now that the questionable hue over Shetland is indeed genuine, it's become so prevalent. Banff has become too cloudy. Maine is super-dark tonight, in contrast to yesterday. Nothing in both instances. "Sodankylä, Finland" is putting on a show. Iceland doing a faded version of Greenland.
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#7
Yazata Offline
(Dec 2, 2023 02:45 AM)C C Wrote: Despite some clouds, "Banff, Canada" is giving old reliable "Greenland: Kulusuk Airport West" some significant competition.

Yeah, the Kulusuk West cam is going pretty good. Imagine what the ancient Vikings thought when they sailed up into the surreal northern reaches and saw the aurora up above them. They must have thought that they were approaching dangerously close to some transcendental fantasy realm. (Shades of MR!)

Quote:UPDATE: Greenland is still champ. Alaska is finally displaying a pink color.

I believe that pink auroras are unusual. It's excited oxygen atoms and it takes energetic particles to excite jaded blase oxygen atoms.
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