Scivillage.com Casual Discussion Science Forum

Full Version: Adam Frank: new UFO hearings continue an “endless loop” of sensation
You're currently viewing a stripped down version of our content. View the full version with proper formatting.
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6
(Nov 19, 2024 07:36 AM)Yazata Wrote: [ -> ]And once again, I think that the word 'proof' is being misused. Proofs only exist in logic and mathematics. What Frank seems to be demanding here is something like "An argument/body of evidence that will finally convince me".
Probably just means what anyone means in common vernacular. Evidence that is compelling for the majority.
The AARO Congressional meeting yesterday reports it has solved a few uap cases and mentions 2 others it can't resolve. Interesting that in the so-called resolved cases the objects filmed, like the GOFAST pilot video and the Aguadilla Puerto Rico video, are never identified at all. I wouldn't exactly call that resolved.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pentagon-so...her-cases/

The two unresolved cases mentioned are as follows:

"One case was reported by a law enforcement officer "out West" who observed "a large orange orb floating several hundred feet above the ground," according to Kosloski.

As the officer approached where he thought the orb would be, he saw "a blacker than black object" that was about the size of a Prius. When he reached a distance of 40-60 meters away from the object, it tilted 45 degrees and shot up vertically, traveling faster than any drone he had seen before.

Just as it left his field of view, it emitted bright red and blue lights that lit up the inside of his vehicle "as brightly as if someone had set off fireworks just outside of his vehicle," Kosloski told Congress.

Another case was reported from the southeastern part of the United States after two cars driven by government contractors left a facility around 9 a.m. and saw "a large metallic cylinder about the size of a commercial airplane."

After they observed it for 15-20 seconds, it disappeared.

"Obviously an object that large and stationary — unless it's a blimp — is unusual but then disappearing, we can't explain how that would happen," Kosloski said.
(Nov 20, 2024 06:16 PM)Magical Realist Wrote: [ -> ]Interesting that in the so-called resolved cases the objects filmed, like the GOFAST pilot video and the Aguadilla Puerto Rico video, are never identified at all. I wouldn't exactly call that resolved.

Like I said:

(Nov 18, 2024 06:10 AM)Syne Wrote: [ -> ]Aside from the appeal to authority, how does that differ from years of your own claims?
Just some more details? But still no closer to any explanation.
Quote:Aside from the appeal to authority, how does that differ from years of your own claims?
Just some more details? But still no closer to any explanation.

There are lots of phenomena we don't yet have explanations for. Just educated guesses. Like quantum entanglement, dark energy, and consciousness itself. Does that mean we should give up and quit exploring it? No. It means we continue researching it and learning more about it till we finally do have a good explanation for it.
No one said quit exploring things. I'm just on the side of not jumping to unwarranted conclusions when no one knows or even has evidence that could compel majority consensus. In the lack of extraordinary evidence, I assume the ordinary. And if the evidence doesn't convince the majority of people, it obviously is not extraordinary.

Even your faith in the experts "confirming" something only leads to things "never identified."
Quote:No one said quit exploring things. I'm just on the side of not jumping to unwarranted conclusions when no one knows or even has evidence that could compel majority consensus. In the lack of extraordinary evidence, I assume the ordinary. And if the evidence doesn't convince the majority of people, it obviously is not extraordinary.

Majority consensus is highly overrated. There was a time when the majority thought the world was flat. Even today the majority believes in some divine creation event instead of evolution. So instead of committing the fallacy of argumentum ad populum and waiting for the masses to be convinced, better to go forward with the continuing evidence that is mounting that there is some sort of non-human intelligence on our planet capable of extraordinary feats of technology.

Quote:Even your faith in the experts "confirming" something only leads to things "never identified

When a government agency comes forward with video evidence of uaps and a detailed profile of them based on its scientific analysis of hundreds of videos and eyewitness accounts, then we can have a reasonably strong confidence that it knows what it's talking about. There is simply no reason to doubt it.
(Nov 21, 2024 06:29 PM)Magical Realist Wrote: [ -> ]
Quote:No one said quit exploring things. I'm just on the side of not jumping to unwarranted conclusions when no one knows or even has evidence that could compel majority consensus. In the lack of extraordinary evidence, I assume the ordinary. And if the evidence doesn't convince the majority of people, it obviously is not extraordinary.

Majority consensus is highly overrated. There was a time when the majority thought the world was flat. Even today the majority believes in some divine creation event instead of evolution. So instead of committing the fallacy of argumentum ad populum and waiting for the masses to be convinced, better to go forward with the continuing evidence that is mounting that there is some sort of non-human intelligence on our planet capable of extraordinary feats of technology.

Very few people throughout the Middle Ages believed that the world was flat. Thinkers on both sides of the question were Christians (Roman Catholic or Eastern Orthodox), and for them, the shape of the earth did not equate with progressive or traditionalist views. It is true that most clerics were more concerned with salvation than the shape of the earth — that was their job, after all. But God’s works in nature were important to them as well. Columbus could not have proved that the world was round because this fact was already known. Nor was he a rebellious modern; rather, he was a good Catholic who undertook his voyage believing he was doing God’s work. A transformation was taking place in fifteenth-century views of the earth, but it had more to do with a new way of mapping than with a move from flat earth to sphere.
- Myth: That Before Columbus, Geographers and Other Educated People Thought the Earth Was Flat

It's not an ad populum argument because I'm not saying something is true because people believe it. I'm just using consensus as a stand-in for how compelling the belief is.
I'm only making the most parsimonious assumptions. I don't have to postulate a lot of unknowns to explain things.

Quote:
Quote:Even your faith in the experts "confirming" something only leads to things "never identified

When a government agency comes forward with video evidence of uaps and a detailed profile of them based on its scientific analysis of hundreds of videos and eyewitness accounts, then we can have a reasonably strong confidence that it knows what it's talking about. There is simply no reason to doubt it.
Yet "never identified."
Quote:Yet "never identified."

Who says "never" identified? We may not know WHAT they are at present, but we definitely know THAT they are. And we know what they look like. And that's tremendous progress.
(Nov 22, 2024 03:48 AM)Magical Realist Wrote: [ -> ]
Quote:Yet "never identified."

Who says "never" identified? We may not know WHAT they are at present, but we definitely know THAT they are. And we know what they look like. And that's tremendous progress.

Ahem:
(Nov 20, 2024 06:16 PM)Magical Realist Wrote: [ -> ]Interesting that in the so-called resolved cases the objects filmed, like the GOFAST pilot video and the Aguadilla Puerto Rico video, are never identified at all. I wouldn't exactly call that resolved.

Without knowing WHAT something is, it's just as likely THAT it is a mirage, sensor anomaly, ball lightning, sun dog, etc.. "Never identified" leaves the field wide open.
Quote:Without knowing WHAT something is, it's just as likely THAT it is a mirage, sensor anomaly, ball lightning, sun dog, etc.. "Never identified" leaves the field wide open.

No it doesn't. We can know what a thing isn't while not knowing what it is. On all the unresolved cases, the true uap sightings, the mundane possibilities have been ruled out by the appearance and flight behavior of the object. Not a balloon or a bird or ball lightning or a sun dog or the planet Venus. Hence unidentified ANOMALOUS phenomenon. And hence 4 meter metallic spheres that hover and fly up to Mach 2 seen and captured on video all over the world:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LN22jK34usA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQ8GUBgrp6Y

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9G0ou8Ela9g

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/WdJoxnKoqoI

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/-ps4wBX-s_o

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4_1Rf0g1Yk
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6