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"Climate change has run its course" (as policies of governments, not science) - Printable Version +- Scivillage.com Casual Discussion Science Forum (https://www.scivillage.com) +-- Forum: Culture (https://www.scivillage.com/forum-49.html) +--- Forum: Law & Ethics (https://www.scivillage.com/forum-105.html) +--- Thread: "Climate change has run its course" (as policies of governments, not science) (/thread-5484.html) |
"Climate change has run its course" (as policies of governments, not science) - C C - Jun 7, 2018 Climate Change Has Run Its Course - Its descent into social-justice identity politics is the last gasp of a cause that has lost its vitality. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL - June 4, 2018 6:54 p.m. ET by Steven Hayward - (Opinion Commentary): Climate change is over. No, I’m not saying the climate will not change in the future, or that human influence on the climate is negligible. I mean simply that climate change is no longer a pre-eminent policy issue. All that remains is boilerplate rhetoric from the political class, frivolous nuisance lawsuits, and bureaucratic mandates on behalf of special-interest renewable-energy rent seekers. Judged by deeds rather than words, most national governments are backing away from forced-marched decarbonization. You can date the arc of climate change as a policy priority from 1988, when highly publicized congressional hearings first elevated the issue, to 2018. President Trump’s ostentatious withdrawal from the Paris Agreement merely ratified a trend long becoming evident. A good indicator of why climate change as an issue is over can be found early in the text of the Paris Agreement. The “nonbinding” pact declares that climate action must include concern for “gender equality, empowerment of women, and intergenerational equity” as well as “the importance for some of the concept of ‘climate justice.’ ” Another is Sarah Myhre’s address at the most recent meeting of the American Geophysical Union, in which she proclaimed that climate change cannot fully be addressed without also grappling with the misogyny and social injustice that have perpetuated the problem for decades. The descent of climate change into the abyss of social-justice identity politics represents the last gasp of a cause that has lost its vitality. Climate alarm is like a car alarm - a blaring noise people are tuning out. This outcome was predictable. Political scientist Anthony Downs described the downward trajectory of many political movements in an article for the Public Interest, “Up and Down With Ecology: The ‘Issue-Attention Cycle,’”(PDF) published in 1972, long before the climate-change campaign began. Observing the movements that had arisen to address issues like crime, poverty and even the U.S.-Soviet space race, Mr. Downs discerned a five-stage cycle through which political issues pass regularly. The first stage involves groups of experts and activists calling attention to a public problem, which leads quickly to the second stage, wherein the alarmed media and political class discover the issue. Scientists who are genuinely worried about the potential for catastrophic climate change ought to be the most outraged at how the left politicized the issue and how the international policy community narrowed the range of acceptable responses. Treating climate change as a planet-scale problem that could be solved only by an international regulatory scheme transformed the issue into a political creed for committed believers. Causes that live by politics, die by politics. * * * Mr. Hayward is a senior resident scholar at the Institute of Governmental Studies at the University of California, Berkeley. - - - The Wall Street Journal RE: "Climate change has run its course" (as policies of governments, not science) - Syne - Jun 7, 2018 Why are you citing the WSJ's scientific credibility when this article is not making any scientific claims? Is it just the vain hope that political will hasn't largely vanished (been subverted by identity politics), or to give any true believer in catastrophic anthropogenic climate change a very weak justification to cling to such hope? Either is likely counterproductive to the cause, since a recent study has shown that CACC deniers are more likely to have eco-friendly behaviors than true believers: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/may/7/climate-skeptics-more-eco-friendly-global-warming-/ Turns out that those who believe in big government solutions take no personal responsibility for their own contribution to the problem (like Gore and DiCaprio jetting around preaching about it), while those who most believe in personal responsibility are responsible, regardless of how they view the hyperbolic claims of impending catastrophe. And why question its political stance, other than as a transparent attempt to poison the well/genetic fallacy? Did the article make any factual errors? Why was the Paris Accord nonbinding, if not for the lack of political will to enforce it? These fallacious glancing blows at its validity would seem to indicate a lack of substantial rebuttal. RE: "Climate change has run its course" (as policies of governments, not science) - C C - Jun 7, 2018 (Jun 7, 2018 04:19 AM)Syne Wrote: Why are you citing the WSJ's scientific credibility when this article is not making any scientific claims? Is it just the vain hope that political will hasn't largely vanished (been subverted by identity politics), or to give any true believer in catastrophic anthropogenic climate change a very weak justification to cling to such hope? Either is likely counterproductive to the cause, since a recent study has shown that CACC deniers are more likely to have eco-friendly behaviors than true believers: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/may/7/climate-skeptics-more-eco-friendly-global-warming-/ Such probably wouldn't need to be asked if I had left it off. I.e., others bringing up issues about either source or author; especially due to it being seized upon and paraded about by certain places. Had to actually find it at conspiracy-heavy Zero Hedge. Also been posting a little bit at SciForums this week, so the pre-empt reflex probably got universally revived a tad by the environment there. Was originally going to post it under Junk Science, then realized it didn't really fit. Still left the sci-cred rating on as anticipatory overkill of all the potential bases which might still arise (whether justified by the context of the op-ed or not). ~ RE: "Climate change has run its course" (as policies of governments, not science) - Syne - Jun 7, 2018 So...preemptively make all the fallacious arguments yourself? Isn't that just lending credence to/endorsing such nonsense arguments? Is it a form of virtue-signalling to leftists over there? And what does where you found the article (to avoid the paywall) have to do with its content? Just doubling down on the genetic fallacy by proxy? |