Scivillage.com Casual Discussion Science Forum - Hurricane heading for... Ireland??

Now we have Hurricane Ophelia (love the name) in the Atlantic. Instead of heading west towards the Caribbean and the US, this one is going northeast. Projected tracks take it in between the Azores and Madeira, then northwest of Spain, and it toward what looks like a head-on collision with Ireland next Monday. By then it probably won't be a hurricane, but it will still be a significant storm.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.sht...e#contents

This graphic suggests that by the time it reaches Ireland its winds might not exceed 50 mph.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics...0#contents

Here's Ireland after it is struck by Ophelia:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ophelia_(p...roject.jpg

(Oct 11, 2017 10:50 PM)Yazata Wrote: [ -> ]Here's Ireland after it is struck by Ophelia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ophelia_(p...roject.jpg

Why is Ireland a feminine conception this time around? Perhaps due to Hurricane Debbie going all Myra Breckinridge on its former male version back in 1961. Thankfully, the island isn't expected to acquire a redundant orifice from this weaker storm's efforts.

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(Oct 12, 2017 05:48 AM)C C Wrote: [ -> ]Why is Ireland a feminine conception this time around?

Because Ophelia is a character in a Shakespeare play who drowns herself in a river. That fictional event is the subject of the famous pre-Raphaelite painting named 'Ophelia' that I linked to.

Why did I associate the painting with this thread? Mainly because the name 'Ophelia' in 'Hurricane Ophelia' reminded me of the 'Ophelia' painting that depicts a drowning. Ireland may get drowned by this coming storm. Nothing to do with "gender" politics.

(Oct 12, 2017 04:06 PM)Yazata Wrote: [ -> ]
(Oct 12, 2017 05:48 AM)C C Wrote: [ -> ]Why is Ireland a feminine conception this time around?

Because Ophelia is a character in a Shakespeare play who drowns herself in a river. That fictional event is the subject of the famous pre-Raphaelite painting named 'Ophelia' that I linked to.

Why did I associate the painting with this thread? Mainly because the name 'Ophelia' in 'Hurricane Ophelia' reminded me of the 'Ophelia' painting that depicts a drowning. Ireland may get drowned by this coming storm. Nothing to do with "gender" politics.

Oh, come on. I'm just kidding around, too. You've been spending too much time in that "in-between the lines" humor impaired SciForums. I don't whether that's due to some of its members being middling-mired in the autism spectrum or what the problem is in there sometimes. Wink

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It looks like the intensity probabilities are rising for Ireland. (Ireland! When do hurricanes go there?) The US National Hurricane Center has up to an 80% probability of tropical-storm force winds in SW Ireland (Kerry is in the bullseye). Up to 60% in Scotland's Western Isles. Wales might catch the edge of it.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics...0#contents

As for hurricane-force winds, the probabilities are a lot lower. About 10% in Kerry, closer to 0 in the Western Isles.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics...#wcontents

http://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/default.asp

https://www.thesun.ie/news/1664074/nine-...r-warning/

https://www.voanews.com/a/ophelia-threat...71243.html

http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/thi...28710.html

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/environm...-1.3256846

http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/edu...29263.html

http://www.eveningecho.ie/corknews/Hurri...fc97107-ds

http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/bus...29721.html

Scotland is in the line of fire too

http://www.scotsman.com/news/scotland-s-...-1-4587420

The storm is hitting Ireland right now. Wind gusts up to 90 mph. Lots of rain. About 10% of the country has lost power. 3 deaths reported.

http://www.met.ie/

They haven't lost their sense of humor.

https://twitter.com/hashtag/meteireann?src=hash

I liked this illustration of Irish weather forecasting:

[Image: DMQR5uVW4AI2s4m.jpg]

(Oct 16, 2017 05:35 PM)Yazata Wrote: [ -> ]The storm is hitting Ireland right now. Wind gusts up to 90 mph. Lots of rain. About 10% of the country has lost power. 3 deaths reported.

Looks like Ophelia may have topped Hurricane Debbie after all in the Irish record book. Never say never to the little engine that could.

If the 119 mph gust at Fastnet Rock is verified and considered official, it would break the record for Ireland’s strongest wind gust of 113 mph set at Malin Head, at Ireland’s northern tip, during Hurricane Debbie in 1961. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capi...ind-gusts/

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