Jul 10, 2025 11:03 PM
PETER ZEIHAN ON GEOPOLITICS
https://youtu.be/iSPzVzxF4Cc
VIDEO EXCERPTS: Is there a future for the Democratic Party in the United States? The short version is probably not.
[...after WWII...] the party basically formed around three big pillars of voters. The first is organized labor... The second are ethnic minorities...
And then the third group is coastal elites, specifically of the White Tower crowd, people who live in cities and have a very different way of looking at the world than, say, rural voters who are more likely to be Republicans.
Those three categories are the bulk of the system. And if you look at it just on the numbers [...] it’s a super majority of the population. ... And yet they keep losing elections by ever more impressive margins. Why?
[...] We’ve had the onset of the digital revolution and the rise of social media ... but for the Democrats, this has not been a gift. ... And those liberal, coastal educated urban living elites are not nearly as united as you might think.
More importantly, they have a hard time resonating their ideas with the rank and file of the United States. Most Americans do not own six figures. Most Americans have not graduated from graduate programs. And so the sort of tunnel vision that you can get if you’re a part of this coastal elite, just doesn’t really carry out to others.
[...] we saw two things happening with specifically the Hispanic population. Number one, they became steadily and steadily more wealthy, which tends to put them over into the Republican camp. And second, Hispanics, especially first and second generation Mexican Americans, are very strong in blue collar work...
[...] the Hispanics have become more and more in the category of those moving forward. So for them, tax rates [and such] have become as important as other things like racial equality.
And so more and more of these people have shifted over in the general direction of Trump style Republicans. And the third issue is cultural. If you’re a first or second generation Mexican-American or immigrant from whatever background, odds are that where you came from is less organized than the United States and less wealthy.
You came to pursue the American Dream, which means you have some first-hand experience in your family of what a system with weak rule of law looks like. ... most migrants have a deeper degree of religious RCD than most Americans. And so when you get a Mexican immigrant or Nigerian immigrant, and they come to the United States, they are far more likely to be socially conservative than, say, the social liberals of the coasts.
[...] the net result is a lot of factions that used to be core to the Democratic coalition are now toss-ups. Hispanics were as likely to vote for Trump as they were likely to vote for Harris. Same for people under age 30. The youth are now in play as well.
[...] Does this mean that the Democrats are dead forever? Not quite what I’m saying. What I’m saying is they can no longer count on winning by the numbers...
A bleak future for the Democratic Party ... https://youtu.be/iSPzVzxF4Cc
https://youtu.be/iSPzVzxF4Cc
VIDEO EXCERPTS: Is there a future for the Democratic Party in the United States? The short version is probably not.
[...after WWII...] the party basically formed around three big pillars of voters. The first is organized labor... The second are ethnic minorities...
And then the third group is coastal elites, specifically of the White Tower crowd, people who live in cities and have a very different way of looking at the world than, say, rural voters who are more likely to be Republicans.
Those three categories are the bulk of the system. And if you look at it just on the numbers [...] it’s a super majority of the population. ... And yet they keep losing elections by ever more impressive margins. Why?
[...] We’ve had the onset of the digital revolution and the rise of social media ... but for the Democrats, this has not been a gift. ... And those liberal, coastal educated urban living elites are not nearly as united as you might think.
More importantly, they have a hard time resonating their ideas with the rank and file of the United States. Most Americans do not own six figures. Most Americans have not graduated from graduate programs. And so the sort of tunnel vision that you can get if you’re a part of this coastal elite, just doesn’t really carry out to others.
[...] we saw two things happening with specifically the Hispanic population. Number one, they became steadily and steadily more wealthy, which tends to put them over into the Republican camp. And second, Hispanics, especially first and second generation Mexican Americans, are very strong in blue collar work...
[...] the Hispanics have become more and more in the category of those moving forward. So for them, tax rates [and such] have become as important as other things like racial equality.
And so more and more of these people have shifted over in the general direction of Trump style Republicans. And the third issue is cultural. If you’re a first or second generation Mexican-American or immigrant from whatever background, odds are that where you came from is less organized than the United States and less wealthy.
You came to pursue the American Dream, which means you have some first-hand experience in your family of what a system with weak rule of law looks like. ... most migrants have a deeper degree of religious RCD than most Americans. And so when you get a Mexican immigrant or Nigerian immigrant, and they come to the United States, they are far more likely to be socially conservative than, say, the social liberals of the coasts.
[...] the net result is a lot of factions that used to be core to the Democratic coalition are now toss-ups. Hispanics were as likely to vote for Trump as they were likely to vote for Harris. Same for people under age 30. The youth are now in play as well.
[...] Does this mean that the Democrats are dead forever? Not quite what I’m saying. What I’m saying is they can no longer count on winning by the numbers...
A bleak future for the Democratic Party ... https://youtu.be/iSPzVzxF4Cc